France vs Denmark
France will want to top the group and beat Denmark tomorrow. They may even make changes but their squad is so strong they should have too much for the Danes even with changes. The French will probably rest Pogba and Matuidi who are both on yellows. Matuidi being rested could nearly be a positive for France but other than that, I don’t believe we will see changes on a par with say the amount the Croats will change tomorrow.
The Danes while be without Poulsen who caught the eye as not being a bad player in their earlier games. They may set up for a draw but the French will be wanting to put in a good performance and I think on the -0.25 line they’re worth a nibble even if a draw is not a bad result for France. I have made a major negative adjustment for France not playing Pogba and also the fact that France do not need a win and I still have clear value on this market.
France-0.25 Min odds Min Odds 1.73
Peru vs Australia
Australia have been underestimated throughout this whole tournament and this trend seems to continue again tomorrow when they play Peru who are a side who have been in my mind overestimated slightly. Peru were excellent vs Denmark in the first game and really should not have lost the match but against France I think they were put in their place even if the game was only 1-0 to the French.
The Aussies are without their starting striker Nabbout which is a blow but they do have players that can come in and do a job. They’re a solid side and I think Australia +0.25 in a game they need to win is a stand out bet.
Australia +0.25 Min Odds 1.86
Argentina vs Nigeria
Nigeria is a clear bet here against the dysfunctional Argentinians. Yes on paper Argentina without a shadow have the better players but at this moment in time Nigeria are playing much better. How can Argentina change it within a few days from looking so defeated to beating a solid side like Nigeria by 2 goals, they surely can’t.
Messi looks like a player that does not want to be there. The players seem to hate the manager, it is a total and utter mess. Nigeria changed their formation to 3 at the back in their match vs Iceland and they looked so much better for it. They appear to be a happy camp compared to the Argentines and with being probably just a point away from getting out of their group. Nigeria is a bet all day long here. I am going for the Nigeria +1 for me they are currently as big as 2.09 and there even a decent odds on the +1.25 but lets be brave here and go for the +1.
Nigeria +1 Min odds 1.95
Croatia vs Iceland
The Croats will make numerous changes for this match against Iceland. They have a number of players on yellow cards so you would expect we will see them use their squad. Iceland need to win and the fact that they beat Croatia in getting to the World Cup will give them hope especially as they will face a 2nd string Croatian team here.
However, I think there is a bet to be found in this, I think over 2.25 goals is a great bet. The Croats should go out and play with a lot of freedom and it should lead to a more open game, couple with the fact Iceland will need win I think over just 2.25 goals is the bet.
Over 2.25 Goals Min odds 1.90