Independiente del Valle (Ecuador) vs Independiente (Argentina)
Independiente del Valle couldn’t hold onto their 1-0 lead and ended up losing 2-1 at Independiente in Argentina, which is why they will need to win at home to keep their hope alive. On Saturday, the team’s alternative XI lost 3-2 at home to Mushuc Runa, which means they dropped down to fourth in the Ecuadorian league table on 39 points, seven behind leaders Macara. Independiente del Valle are winless in their last five competitive matches, drawing two and losing three. Their last defeat stopped an impressive unbeaten run as hosts of ten victories and two draws.
Independiente managed to reverse the score with Silvio Romero scoring the winner in stoppage time to make it 2-1 over Independiente del Valle at home. Therefore, they only need to avoid the defeat in Ecuador to reach the Copa Sudamericana’s semi-finals. El Rojo hasn’t had any league action during the weekend because of Argentina’s primary elections. They managed three points so far, having beaten Defensa y Justicia away and postponed their home match against Newell’s Old Boys. Overall, Independiente won four of their last five competitive games, losing the other. On away turf, the side claimed three successes and suffered three losses in their last six.
The first leg last week was an open one with the Argentinean side winning in stoppage time, and I expect also another open game here as the hosts must win and once they score the game could go crazy. Independiente played at Ecuador the previous stage of this competition two weeks ago in a similar scenario and the game ended 3-2 so I definitely think this OVER line is worth a bet.